SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
40.42% ( 0.62) | 30.58% ( -0.23) | 28.99% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 39.55% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.37% ( 0.55) | 67.63% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.31% ( 0.37) | 85.69% ( -0.37) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0.68) | 32.95% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( 0.75) | 69.53% ( -0.75) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( 0) | 41.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( 0) | 77.57% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 15% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.42% | 0-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.28) 1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.58% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 28.99% |
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