SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
24.09% ( 0.56) | 25.15% ( 0.29) | 50.77% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( -0.67) | 52.05% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( -0.59) | 73.78% ( 0.59) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% ( 0.14) | 36.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( 0.14) | 73.3% ( -0.14) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.62) | 20.51% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( -0.99) | 53% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.82% Total : 24.09% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 50.76% |
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