SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
56.71% ( -1.62) | 23.04% ( 0.63) | 20.25% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( -1.33) | 47.55% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% ( -1.24) | 69.75% ( 1.24) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( -1.01) | 16.55% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.69% ( -1.86) | 46.32% ( 1.86) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% ( 0.29) | 37.69% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.54% ( 0.28) | 74.46% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.71% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.59% Total : 20.25% |
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