SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 48.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
25.32% ( 0.52) | 26.63% ( 0.27) | 48.04% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.62) | 56.7% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0.5) | 77.66% ( 0.5) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.12) | 37.98% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( 0.12) | 74.75% ( -0.12) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( -0.63) | 23.64% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( -0.91) | 57.74% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.62% Total : 25.32% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.03% |
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