SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
46.36% ( 0.76) | 25.38% ( 0) | 28.26% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50% ( -0.44) | 49.99% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% ( -0.39) | 71.97% ( 0.39) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 0.16) | 21.56% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( 0.24) | 54.65% ( -0.25) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( -0.79) | 31.97% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( -0.91) | 68.42% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.26% |
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