SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Henan had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Henan win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Henan |
65.64% ( -0.94) | 19.34% ( 0.46) | 15.02% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.03% ( -1.13) | 39.97% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.67% ( -1.18) | 62.34% ( 1.19) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( -0.56) | 11.39% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.88% ( -1.25) | 36.12% ( 1.25) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( -0.06) | 39.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( -0.06) | 76.01% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Henan |
| 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.11)Other @ 4.02% Total : 65.64% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.02% |
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