Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match.