SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-2 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
79.97% ( 0.35) | 11.65% ( 0.03) | 8.38% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( -2.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.68% ( -1.66) | 19.32% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.88% ( -2.44) | 37.12% ( 2.44) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.23% ( -0.26) | 3.76% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.89% ( -0.86) | 16.11% ( 0.86) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( -2.29) | 34.85% ( 2.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.41% ( -2.49) | 71.59% ( 2.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 3-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.56)2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.65)4-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.33)5-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.48)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.26)6-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.13)5-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.23)6-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)6-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.18)7-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)7-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.39% Total : 79.97% | 1-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.37% Total : 11.65% | 1-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.23% Total : 8.38% |
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