Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
