Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
Result | ||
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
57.48% ( 0.18) | 22.23% ( -0.07) | 20.28% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.96% ( 0.14) | 44.04% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.58% ( 0.13) | 66.42% ( -0.13) |
Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.93% ( 0.11) | 15.07% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.41% ( 0.2) | 43.58% ( -0.2) |
Meizhou Hakka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% ( -0.04) | 35.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.58% ( -0.04) | 72.41% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.28% |
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