SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 7.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.89%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
78.84% ( 0.03) | 13.72% ( -0.02) | 7.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.05% ( 0.04) | 34.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.07% ( 0.04) | 56.93% ( -0.04) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.94% ( 0.02) | 7.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.23% ( 0.04) | 25.77% ( -0.04) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.01) | 49.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.54% ( -0.01) | 84.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.89% 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.05% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 78.83% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.72% | 0-1 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 7.44% |
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