SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
76.12% ( -0.16) | 14.54% ( 0.08) | 9.33% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0.16) | 31.87% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.58% ( -0.19) | 53.41% ( 0.18) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.07% ( -0.07) | 6.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.59% ( -0.18) | 25.41% ( 0.17) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.88% ( 0.04) | 43.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.61% ( 0.03) | 79.38% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 76.12% | 1-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.54% | 1-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.33% |
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