SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantong Zhiyun would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
12.54% ( 1.19) | 18.14% ( 1.23) | 69.32% ( -2.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( -2.64) | 40.1% ( 2.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( -2.79) | 62.47% ( 2.79) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.01% ( 0.25) | 42.99% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.72% ( 0.21) | 79.28% ( -0.21) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.53% ( -1.28) | 10.47% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.9% ( -2.97) | 34.1% ( 2.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.54% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.14% | 0-2 @ 11.46% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.67)1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 8.62% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 7.28% ( -0.28)0-4 @ 4.86% ( -0.51)1-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 2.2% ( -0.37)1-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.3)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.16)Other @ 4.31% Total : 69.31% |
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