SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 88.02%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 3.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.95%) and 0-4 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
3.12% ( -0.04) | 8.85% ( -0.09) | 88.02% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 34.88% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.07% ( 0.21) | 31.93% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.51% ( 0.25) | 53.48% ( -0.26) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.05) | 63.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.71% ( -0.02) | 92.28% ( 0.02) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.27% ( 0.05) | 4.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.85% ( 0.18) | 19.14% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 3.12% | 1-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 8.86% | 0-3 @ 14.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 13.95% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 10.83% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 6.61% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)0-6 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-7 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 88.01% |
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