SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shenzhen |
67.55% ( -1.09) | 19.94% ( 0.61) | 12.51% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.95% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( -1.42) | 48.16% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -1.32) | 70.32% ( 1.32) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( -0.75) | 13.28% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.9% ( -1.52) | 40.1% ( 1.52) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.08) | 48.16% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.65% ( -0.05) | 83.35% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.63% Total : 67.54% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.94% | 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.68% Total : 12.51% |
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