SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shenzhen |
60.14% ( -1.57) | 22.35% ( 0.91) | 17.51% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( -2.75) | 48.59% ( 2.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( -2.55) | 70.71% ( 2.56) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( -1.42) | 15.74% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.16% ( -2.69) | 44.85% ( 2.7) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.83) | 41.36% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.13% ( -0.74) | 77.88% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.75) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.16% Total : 60.13% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.71)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.51% |
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