SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Dalian Pro | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Shanghai Port | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Changchun Yatai | 4 | -1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shenzhen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shenzhen.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
55.26% ( -1.03) | 24.89% ( 0.18) | 19.85% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% ( 0.33) | 55.28% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% ( 0.27) | 76.5% ( -0.27) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.28) | 19.97% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( -0.45) | 52.14% ( 0.44) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( 1.15) | 42.57% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% ( 0.97) | 78.92% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.33)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.25% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.85% |
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