SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 73.05%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
73.05% ( -0.01) | 16.45% ( 0) | 10.5% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( 0) | 37.75% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40% ( 0) | 60% ( -0.01) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% ( -0.01) | 8.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.42% ( -0.01) | 30.58% ( 0) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.03% ( 0.02) | 44.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.09% ( 0.01) | 80.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 11.72% 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.43% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 5.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 4.18% Total : 73.04% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 16.45% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.5% |
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