SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Wuhan |
61.15% ( 0.34) | 21.81% ( -0.16) | 17.04% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.89% ( 0.36) | 47.11% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( 0.33) | 69.35% ( -0.33) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( 0.23) | 14.92% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.71% ( 0.44) | 43.3% ( -0.43) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0.01) | 41.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.39% ( -0.01) | 77.61% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Wuhan |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 61.14% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.04% |
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