SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 72.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 10.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
10.76% ( 0.19) | 16.67% | 72.57% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.99% ( 0.58) | 38.01% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.73% ( 0.61) | 60.27% ( -0.61) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.35% ( 0.74) | 44.65% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.35% ( 0.59) | 80.65% ( -0.59) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.86% ( 0.1) | 9.14% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69% ( 0.24) | 31% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 10.76% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.67% | 0-2 @ 11.68% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 9.32% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 7.51% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)0-6 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 72.57% |
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