SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
42.5% ( 0.37) | 25.38% ( -0.18) | 32.13% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( 0.72) | 48.24% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( 0.65) | 70.39% ( -0.65) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( 0.49) | 22.61% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( 0.73) | 56.23% ( -0.73) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( 0.23) | 28.38% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( 0.29) | 64.12% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.5% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.13% |
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