SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
43.4% ( -0) | 27.89% ( 0.03) | 28.71% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.66% ( -0.1) | 59.33% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.27% ( -0.08) | 79.73% ( 0.08) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( -0.05) | 27.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% ( -0.07) | 62.52% ( 0.06) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.08) | 36.59% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( -0.08) | 73.37% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.71% |
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