SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Dalian Pro |
35.98% ( -0.31) | 27.69% ( 0.09) | 36.33% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.91% ( -0.33) | 57.09% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.03% ( -0.27) | 77.97% ( 0.27) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( -0.36) | 30.3% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0.43) | 66.47% ( 0.44) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( -0.02) | 30.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.79% ( -0.03) | 66.21% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.32% |
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