SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
55.88% ( 0.11) | 22.55% ( -0.08) | 21.57% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( 0.32) | 43.77% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( 0.31) | 66.16% ( -0.31) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( 0.15) | 15.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( 0.28) | 44.41% ( -0.28) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0.15) | 34.23% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( 0.16) | 70.93% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 55.88% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.57% |
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