SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 10.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
72.56% ( 0.37) | 16.73% ( -0.17) | 10.71% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.51% ( 0.27) | 38.49% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% ( 0.29) | 60.78% ( -0.29) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.74% ( 0.16) | 9.26% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.7% ( 0.37) | 31.29% ( -0.37) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.17) | 45.08% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19% ( -0.13) | 80.99% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.97% Total : 72.55% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.73% | 0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.71% |
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