SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 7.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
79.06% ( 0.02) | 13.12% ( 0.09) | 7.82% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.94% ( -0.92) | 30.06% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.74% ( -1.12) | 51.26% ( 1.12) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.01% ( -0.19) | 5.98% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.16% ( -0.53) | 22.83% ( 0.52) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.9% ( -0.97) | 45.1% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.98% ( -0.78) | 81.01% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 8% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.29% Total : 79.05% | 1-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.98% Total : 13.12% | 1-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 7.82% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
