SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
30.49% ( -0.83) | 23.01% ( 0.24) | 46.5% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 62.93% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% ( -1.59) | 38.05% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.69% ( -1.72) | 60.32% ( 1.72) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -1.27) | 24.41% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( -1.83) | 58.83% ( 1.84) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( -0.39) | 16.75% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.33% ( -0.7) | 46.68% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 5.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.32% Total : 46.5% |
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