SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
24.21% ( -0.04) | 24.87% ( 0.01) | 50.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.08) | 50.85% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% ( -0.07) | 72.74% ( 0.08) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0.08) | 35.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( -0.08) | 72.51% ( 0.08) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( -0.02) | 19.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% ( -0.04) | 52.15% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 24.21% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0)0-4 @ 2% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.9% |
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