Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
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