SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Henan had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Henan win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
32.15% ( 0.02) | 27.28% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.39% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% ( -0.04) | 55.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( -0.03) | 77.08% ( 0.02) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( -0) | 32.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% | 68.75% ( -0.01) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -0.04) | 27.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0.05) | 62.46% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.56% |
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