SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
44.37% ( 0.16) | 25.54% ( 0.06) | 30.09% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.35) | 49.75% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( -0.31) | 71.76% ( 0.31) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( -0.08) | 22.38% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( -0.12) | 55.88% ( 0.12) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.33) | 30.51% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( -0.39) | 66.73% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.09% |
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