SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
47.14% ( 0.25) | 23.88% ( -0.12) | 28.98% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( 0.48) | 43.02% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( 0.48) | 65.42% ( -0.47) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( 0.29) | 18.43% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( 0.49) | 49.6% ( -0.48) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.16) | 27.87% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( 0.2) | 63.48% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.14% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.98% |
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