SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shanghai Port |
17.66% ( -0.07) | 21.91% ( -0.05) | 60.44% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( 0.12) | 46.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( 0.11) | 68.8% ( -0.11) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% ( -0.01) | 39.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.38% ( -0.01) | 76.62% ( 0.01) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.05% ( 0.08) | 14.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.64% ( 0.15) | 43.36% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.66% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 60.43% |
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