There is little to choose between the teams coming into this one, and the game could easily swing either way. That said, we just about fancy the visitors to claim a narrow win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
24.51% ( 0.09)	26.71% ( 0.37)	48.78% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 46.43% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

-1.25)

57.54% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

-1)

78.33% (

1.01)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83% (

-0.61)

39.18% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12% (

-0.58)

75.89% (

0.59)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-0.74)

23.66% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.23% (

-1.09)

57.77% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 24.51%

Meizhou Hakka 48.78%

Draw 26.71%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.51%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.78%