Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5

Jun 21, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Huitang Stadium

Cangzhou
0 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen

Zhe (48')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Xie (12'), Dun (16')
Qiuming (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Cangzhou are on a slightly better run of results coming into this one, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are backing them to come away with all three points, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Cangzhou Mighty Lions	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
38.41% ( -0.36)	28.58% ( -0.16)	33% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 45.82% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.43% (

0.64)

60.56% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.33% (

0.48)

80.66% (

-0.48)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

0.11)

30.53% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.24% (

0.12)

66.75% (

-0.12)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

0.71)

34.05% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

0.75)

70.73% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 38.41%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 32.99%

Draw 28.57%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 12.33% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.41%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.99%