SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
25.71% ( -0.07) | 25.98% ( 0.02) | 48.31% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.97% ( -0.11) | 54.03% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.54% ( -0.09) | 75.46% ( 0.09) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0.11) | 36.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( -0.12) | 72.96% ( 0.12) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.02) | 22.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.03) | 55.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.71% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.3% |
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