SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
28.59% ( -0.06) | 27.75% ( 0.07) | 43.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.09% ( -0.25) | 58.91% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% ( -0.2) | 79.4% ( 0.2) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( -0.18) | 36.45% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.76% ( -0.18) | 73.24% ( 0.19) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( -0.12) | 26.79% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( -0.16) | 62.08% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.66% |
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