SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
47.42% ( -0.22) | 27.43% ( 0.01) | 25.15% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.06% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% ( 0.11) | 59.59% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.08% ( 0.08) | 79.92% ( -0.08) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.06) | 25.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% ( -0.09) | 59.95% ( 0.08) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( 0.26) | 39.74% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( 0.24) | 76.41% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 25.15% |
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