SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Dalian Pro |
53.17% ( -4.68) | 23.37% ( 1.47) | 23.46% ( 3.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( -2.63) | 45.25% ( 2.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( -2.57) | 67.59% ( 2.57) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( -2.51) | 16.97% ( 2.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% ( -4.64) | 47.08% ( 4.63) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( 1.53) | 33.33% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 1.65) | 69.95% ( -1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.62)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.53)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.6)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.29)Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.17% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.75) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.9) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.64)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.34% Total : 23.46% |
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