SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
29.16% ( -0.34) | 25.86% ( 0.06) | 44.98% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( -0.43) | 51.51% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.68% ( -0.37) | 73.31% ( 0.37) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( -0.48) | 32.09% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( -0.54) | 68.57% ( 0.54) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.05) | 22.84% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% ( -0.07) | 56.57% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.98% |
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