Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
29.02% ( -0.92) | 25.05% ( 0.18) | 45.93% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 54.92% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.81% ( -1.24) | 48.19% ( 1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.66% ( -1.14) | 70.34% ( 1.15) |
Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( -1.28) | 30.48% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( -1.55) | 66.69% ( 1.55) |
Shandong Taishan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.99% ( -0.18) | 21.01% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.21% ( -0.28) | 53.79% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.02% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.93% |
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