SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Dalian Pro |
70.39% ( -0.35) | 17.3% ( 0.19) | 12.32% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.48) | 36.64% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.2% ( -0.53) | 58.8% ( 0.53) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( -0.21) | 9.29% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.63% ( -0.49) | 31.37% ( 0.49) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( -0.06) | 41.08% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( -0.05) | 77.63% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 70.38% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.3% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.32% |
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