SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Dalian Pro |
29.23% ( 1) | 25.12% ( 0.08) | 45.64% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( 0.25) | 48.38% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( 0.22) | 70.52% ( -0.22) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( 0.86) | 30.43% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( 1.01) | 66.63% ( -1.01) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( -0.37) | 21.22% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% ( -0.58) | 54.11% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.23% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.64% |
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