SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
34.86% ( 0.01) | 25.02% ( -0) | 40.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( 0.01) | 45.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.01) | 68.29% ( -0.01) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.01) | 25.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% ( 0.01) | 60.5% ( -0.01) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( -0) | 22.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( -0) | 56.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.86% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.11% |
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