SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 96.23%. A draw had a probability of 3.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 0.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (15.41%) and 5-0 (12.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.45%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Hebei |
96.23% ( 0.01) | 3.18% ( -0.01) | 0.59% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 20.69% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.01) | 20.56% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.11% ( -0.01) | 38.89% ( 0.01) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.16% ( -0) | 1.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 90.83% ( 0.01) | 9.17% ( -0.01) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 21.08% ( -0.11) | 78.92% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 2.4% ( -0.02) | 97.6% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Hebei |
| 3-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 15.41% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0)7-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)8-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)9-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 96.21% | 0-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 1-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 3.18% | Other @ 0.59% Total : 0.59% |
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