SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
48.68% ( -0.11) | 27.3% ( 0.01) | 24.01% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.07% ( 0.04) | 59.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% ( 0.03) | 80.18% ( -0.03) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.03) | 24.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( -0.05) | 59.32% ( 0.05) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.01% ( 0.12) | 40.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.45% ( 0.11) | 77.55% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 24.01% |
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