SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 5.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.25%) and 1-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Wuhan |
82.48% ( 0.08) | 12% ( -0.05) | 5.52% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.25% ( 0.1) | 34.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.29% ( 0.11) | 56.71% ( -0.12) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.71% ( 0.03) | 6.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.31% ( 0.1) | 23.69% ( -0.11) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.78% ( -0.04) | 55.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.99% ( -0.02) | 88.01% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Wuhan |
| 2-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 82.47% | 1-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 12% | 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 5.52% |
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