SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Wuhan win it was 1-0 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
15.25% ( 0.16) | 19.66% ( 0.14) | 65.09% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( -0.31) | 40.96% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.65% ( -0.31) | 63.35% ( 0.32) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.39% ( 0.02) | 39.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% ( 0.02) | 76.29% ( -0.02) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( -0.17) | 11.82% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.94% ( -0.36) | 37.06% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.25% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.66% | 0-2 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.04% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.76% Total : 65.09% |
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