SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Wuhan |
50.41% ( 0.14) | 25.72% ( -0.11) | 23.86% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( 0.41) | 54.43% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% ( 0.34) | 75.8% ( -0.34) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0.23) | 21.62% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.26% ( 0.35) | 54.73% ( -0.35) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.97% ( 0.21) | 38.03% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.2% ( 0.2) | 74.8% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Wuhan |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 50.41% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.86% |
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