Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 80.04%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Avai had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.45%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
2.92) 
-1.3) 
